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RealClearPolitics Electoral College

(270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win)

Last Ten Elections:  2004 | 2000 | 1996 | 1992 | 1988 | 1984 | 1980 | 1976 | 1972 | 1968

Obama/Biden 217

157 Solid     60 Leaning

McCain/Palin 227

172 Solid     55 Leaning

Toss Up 94

94 Toss Up

(Click on State or Table Below for Latest Polls and to Change Status)

Date State Previous Status   Current Status RCP Electoral Count RCP National Avg.
09/13 Indiana Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain Obama 217 – McCain 227 McCain +2.4
09/11 Florida Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain Obama 217 – McCain 216 McCain +2.5
09/11 North Carolina Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain Obama 217 – McCain 216 McCain +2.5
09/11 Georgia Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain Obama 217 – McCain 216 McCain +2.5
09/09 North Carolina Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain Obama 217 – McCain 189 McCain +2.4
Click Here for Previous Electoral College Changes

Obama 217, McCain 227, Toss Ups 94  |  No Toss Ups: Obama 273, McCain 265
Solid Obama     Leaning Obama     Solid McCain     Leaning McCain     Toss Up     (Click Header to Sort)
State Obama (D) McCain (R) RCP Average RCP Status 2004 2000
Colorado (9) 48.3 46.0 Obama +2.3 Toss Up Bush +4.7 Bush +8.4
Ohio (20) 45.6 47.8 McCain +2.2 Toss Up Bush +2.1 Bush +3.5
Michigan (17) 47.2 45.2 Obama +2.0 Toss Up Kerry +3.4 Gore +5.2
Pennsylvania (21) 47.3 45.0 Obama +2.3 Toss Up Kerry +2.5 Gore +4.2
Virginia (13) 46.7 49.3 McCain +2.6 Toss Up Bush +8.2 Bush +8.1
Nevada (5) 44.6 45.6 McCain +1.0 Toss Up Bush +2.6 Bush +3.5
New Mexico (5) 47.0 44.7 Obama +2.3 Toss Up Bush +0.7 Gore +0.1
New Hampshire (4) 48.0 44.7 Obama +3.3 Toss Up Kerry +1.3 Bush +1.3
Washington (11) 48.0 43.3 Obama +4.7 Leaning Kerry +8.2 Gore +5.5
Indiana (11) 43.3 48.0 McCain +4.7 Leaning Bush +20.7 Bush +15.7
Florida (27) 44.5 49.5 McCain +5.0 Leaning Bush +5.0 Bush +0.1
Wisconsin (10) 47.0 41.7 Obama +5.3 Leaning Kerry +0.4 Gore +0.2
New Jersey (15) 48.7 42.3 Obama +6.4 Leaning Kerry +6.7 Gore +15.8
Missouri (11) 43.7 50.3 McCain +6.6 Leaning Bush +7.2 Bush +3.3
Minnesota (10) 49.3 42.3 Obama +7.0 Leaning Kerry +3.5 Gore +2.4
Oregon (7) 48.7 42.0 Obama +6.7 Leaning Kerry +4.2 Gore +0.5
Iowa (7) 51.3 42.3 Obama +9.0 Leaning Bush +0.7 Gore +0.3
Montana (3) 40.0 49.0 McCain +9.0 Leaning Bush +20.5 Bush +25.0
Texas (34) 38.0 48.8 McCain +10.8 Solid Bush +22.9 Bush +21.3
North Carolina (15) 41.0 52.0 McCain +11.0 Solid Bush +12.4 Bush +12.8
Massachusetts (12) 51.3 38.7 Obama +12.6 Solid Kerry +25.1 Gore +27.3
Georgia (15) 40.3 53.7 McCain +13.4 Solid Bush +16.6 Bush +11.7
Mississippi (6) 40.3 55.0 McCain +14.7 Solid Bush +19.6 Bush +16.9
Kansas (6) 38.7 54.7 McCain +16.0 Solid Bush +25.4 Bush +20.8
Maine (4) 48.3 33.5 Obama +14.8 Solid Kerry +9.0 Gore +5.1
Kentucky (8) 38.3 54.3 McCain +16.0 Solid Bush +19.9 Bush +15.1
California (55) 52.0 36.7 Obama +15.3 Solid Kerry +9.9 Gore +11.8
Louisiana (9) 38.0 54.3 McCain +16.3 Solid Bush +14.5 Bush +7.7
Arkansas (6) 33.0 49.3 McCain +16.3 Solid Bush +9.7 Bush +5.4
New York (31) 53.0 37.0 Obama +16.0 Solid Kerry +18.3 Gore +25.0
Connecticut (7) 55.3 36.7 Obama +18.6 Solid Kerry +10.3 Gore +17.5
Tennessee (11) 36.3 55.0 McCain +18.7 Solid Bush +14.3 Bush +3.9
Alabama (9) 35.0 59.0 McCain +24.0 Solid Bush +25.7 Bush +14.9
Arizona (10) 37.3 49.0 McCain +11.7 Solid Bush +10.5 Bush +6.3
Illinois (21) 57.7 36.0 Obama +21.7 Solid Kerry +10.4 Gore +12.0

Source: Realclearpolitics

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